The worst thing there is, is experts who don’t dare say what they think will happen in uncertain situations. So here is our contribution: we believe the pandemic will be over* by Midsummer, i.e. 2021-06-21.
*(the definition we used was that more than 1 person per day dies of Covid)
To reduce sources of error, we calculated the number of deaths per number of patients in intensive care.
So, provided that vaccine deliveries continue and no new variants of Covid start to spread, you should be able to enjoy your herring and schnapps as usual.
How did we do this? We looked at other countries that were further ahead on the curve, created a mathematical expression for that curve, and extended it using Sweden’s underlying data.
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