We don’t like blowing our own trumpet, but in this case we actually get to.
On 14 May we calculated that the pandemic would be over by Midsummer (or to be exact, we had two different methods, one of which gave the 20th and the other the 21st, and the latter sounded better).

It turned out that this was in fact the last day on which more than one person died of Covid (during that wave).
Calculation: When is the pandemic over? We nailed the day.

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